Aspire Week in Review - Week Ended August 8, 2008

Aug 11, 2008
Author: Administrator

July at a Glance

·         1218 - cities selling E85

·         1658 - stations selling E85

·         17.5% - national avg. spread

·         $3.28 - national avg. price of unleaded

 

Source: E85 Prices.com




Aspire Week in Review - Week Ended August 8, 2008

Energy debate increased this week with House Republican theatrics calling for Pelosi to return to Congress for a debate on opening up offshore drilling, Senator Obama outlining his energy plan in Lansing Michigan and McCain's camp responding with sarcasm (see comments below). McCain continued his push for opening drilling and embracing nuclear, while visiting Michigan's Fermi 2 nuclear plant. He also expressed his opposition to the $300 billion farm bill and subsidies for ethanol.

In an important step forward on Brazil-US energy relations, the Brazilian Mines and Energy Minister Edison Labao and U.S. Acting Deputy Secretary of Energy Jeffry Kulper met and issued a joint statement to affirm both countries' commitments to working together on the promotion of next generation energy policies.

And on Thursday, EPA Administrator Stephen L. Johnson denied the State of Texas' request to reduce the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS), so the total volume of renewable fuels mandated to be blended into the fuel supply will remain at 9 billion gallons and 11.1 billion gallons in 2009.

Abroad, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) met this week to discuss the current energy climate and several projects scheduled to begin in the region. Thailand, the host, of the event, is reportedly pressing an aggressive alternative energy agenda.

Biofuels and Biomass

Green Plains Renewable Energy (Nasdaq: GPRE) announced production of its first 5 million gallons of ethanol at its new Superior, Iowa facility. It expects to ramp to 55 million gallons of ethanol per year, and an additional 175,000 tons of distiller grains per year.

Verenium (Nasdaq: VRNM) announced a $90 million funding commitment from BP in a partnership to accelerate and advance commercialization of cellulosic ethanol. This is a pretty key development for Verenium, where concerns have been mounting that it was going to be unable to secure a strategic partner/investor to support its business plan. Under the stated terms, Verenium will receive funding from BP over the next 18 months for rights to current and future technology that the partnership develops.




The University of Georgiaannounced this week that two of its researchers were awarded grants of $2.5million to research and develop biofuels production from switch grass andsunflowers.

AE Biofuels (OTCBB: AEBF)announced the grand opening of its 9,000 square foot demo plant next Monday forintegrating cellulose and starch ethanol, processing feed stocks includinggrass, wheat straw, corn, corn stover and bagasse. Hopefully it will be able toavoid some of the problems Pacific Ethanol (Nasdaq: PEIX) has had. This lastweek the company had to attend a City Council meeting in Burley City, Idaho, toaddress concerns amongst its citizens that the plan stinks. Pacific Ethanol'snew manager Ken Wilson said that "The odor andintensity of the odor is not consistent with a normal ethanol plant,"Wilson said, "So, to be honest, we've got some work to do." Thecompany has even consulted with an "odor-issue expert", according to Wilson.

Oregon's Snake River Ethanolannounced plans to construct a 130 million gallon per year corn and sugar beetethanol plant at Nyssa. The company plans to use a fractionation technology toseparate brans and oils to processing, selling them as separate co-products.

CSR announced plans thisweek for an $18 million upgrade to its biofuels plant in central Queensland. Andthis week, Almoiz Industries announced that the first biomass electricity generationsystem in Pakistan converting waste to energy is expected to begin, generating27MW and consuming 1,777 tonnes of biomass/solid waste per day. Almoiz hasconcluded a 10-year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Peshawar ElectricSupply Company.

Malaysia's commoditiesminister said this week that it and Indonesia are collaborating on a biofueldevelopment program. The two countries account for more than 80% of the world'scrude palm oil output.

India's biofuel policy ishaving a tough time with oil companies reportedly unwilling to buy ethanol atthe floor price of Rs 21.50 a liter. The government's initial goal was for oilcompanies to begin 5% optional blending, and this is far short of the 10%longer term goal.

At the annual American SugarAlliance meeting this week, Gareth Forber, of LMC International opined on sugarcane as an ideal feedstock to manufacture ethanol, with Brazil, Australia,Thailand, Columbia and Guatemala being the prime countries for production.

Brazil - Cosan (NYSE: CZZ)Under Government Scrutiny on Working Conditions While ADM and Toyota Expectedto Tap The Market

The Brazilian LaborMinistry's Special Mobile Inspection Unit is critical on Cosan's laborpractices, saying that "the worst work conditions registered in sugarcane productionin 2008 were in the Piracicaba zone (in Sao Paulo) where the COSAN groupworks." COSAN has 16 refineries, 2 sugarcane refineries and 2 port terminals inBrazil.

With the U.S. ethanolmarkets in a glut, ADM has confirmed plans recently to move into sugar-basedethanol production, with chief executive, Patricia Woertz telling the FinancialTimes this week that "We have been interested and continue to stay interestedin an investment in sugar and ethanol processing in Brazil and we have talkedwith several potential partners."

And Toyota this week said itis conducting a feasibility study with Brazil's state-run Petrobras into thepossibility of building an ethanol plant near the west-center state of Goias.

Earnings

·        Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM) reported a61% decline in Q2 profit to $372 million, or $0.58 per share, on revenue of$21.78 billion, up from $12.21 billion on a Y/Y basis.

·         The Andersons (Nasdaq: ANDE) reported Q2 net income of $45.6 million, or $2.48 million per diluted share on revenues of $1.1billion, up from $634 million in revenues for the same period last year.Management had previously revised fully year EPS guidance to $5 - $5.40 per diluted share.

CarbonCapture and Markets

The Carbon Markets Association (CMA) and International Carbon Investors and Services (INCIS) announced that they are merging to form the Carbon Markets and Investors Association (CMIA) this week, which incorporates 60 organizations accounting for about three quarters of the transaction value in the $64 billion global carbon market.

The Australian Securities Exchange said this week that it is going to introduce futures contracts for renewable energy credits, natural gas and coal in advance of starting carbon futures trading in the Q3 of 2009.

The China Beijing Environment Exchange was established this week, and will work under the direction of the NDRC, Ministry of Environmental Protection of the PRC and Beijing Municipal People's Government. The exchange will engage in the exchange of clean technologies, energy conservation and pollution emission reduction.

Also in China, the CSIRO post-combustion capture (PCC) pilot plant at the Huaneng Beijing Co-Generation Power Plant was officially launched this week. The plant is designed to capture3000 tonnes per year of CO2.

Poland said on Wednesday that it is trying to find support from other EU members to block Brussel's curbs on CO2 emissions, claiming that they are hurting economic growth. Poland is looking for a quota around 284.6 million tonnes per year, as opposed to the208.5 million tonnes that Brussels has designated. 96% of Poland's electricity is generated by coal.

The EU and the UN have agreed this week to begin swapping carbon trading permits in October, which will allow European companies to get permits to pollute, if they invest in projects that cut emissions elsewhere in the world, which can range from tree-planting to replacing coal-fired plants with clean, or cleaner technologies.

Book Plug

Steven Stoft has made available transcripts of his book "Carbonomics  - How to Fix the Climate and Charge it toOPEC" available for not charge at his website. The work is provocative, insightful and definitely worth a read. We highly recommend it,and again, it downloadable at no charge.

Energy Management

The Bank of Queensland is going to trial a new EDS (NYSE: EDS) service to help companies calculate energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions generated by their IT infrastructures.EDS says the service will enable businesses to reduce IT-related emissions by up to 40% and the total cost of ownership by up to 30%. Just about two weeks ago,SAP (NYSE:SAP) revealed a solution for energy management for businesses.

Earnings

·         EnerNOC (Nasdaq: ENOC) reported a Q2 net loss of $10.4 million, or $(0.54) per share, on revenue of $23.6 million, an increase of 97% on a Y/Y basis. The company raised guidance for FY 2008 to a range of $101 million to $107 million, up from previously stated guidance of$99 million to $105 million.

 
Orion Energy (Nasdaq: OESX) reported Q1 net income of $0.03 million on revenue of $16.1 million, as compared to $16.7million Y/Y. Management reiterated its FY 2009 guidance of 25% to 28% Y/Y revenue growth, between $101 and $103 million. EPS guidance for FY 2009 is$0.16 to $0.19 per diluted share.
 

·          Power Secure (Nasdaq: POWR) reported Q2 income of $4.9 million, or $0.29 per diluted share, on revenue of $41.9 million, up 85%on a Y/Y basis. Management reported that backlog grew to $112 million, with$101 million expected to be recognized after June 30, 2008. The stock traded up to $9 in after hours on the news from the close of $6.07.

Energy Storage and Fuel Cells

Condolencesgo out to the family and friends of Geoffrey Ballard, founder of Ballard PowerSystems, who has died this week at the age of 76.

Hydrogenics (Nasdaq: HYGS)reported that it has been selected by Powertech Labs to provide an electrolyzer for a community hydrogen-diesel system in British Columbia, that will enable its Bella Coola project to increase the proportion of electricity derived from their run-of-the-river hydro-electric power generation system.

Spanish researchers unveiled a super lattice electrolyte this week that would have greater conductivity(almost 100 million times) and efficiency for fuel cells while cutting downcosts, compared to the conventional solid-oxide fuel cells.

And two technologies developed under the DOE's Solid State Energy Conversion Alliance (SECA) fuel cell program have passed proof-of-concept tests at the U.S. Navy's Undersea Warfare Division. The technologies revolve around solid oxide fuel cell-based power systems and would bode well for spin-off applications. It should beinteresting to learn what the impact of the Spanish superlattice electrolytetechnology revealed this week will have on these results.

Earnings

·         EnerSys (NYSE: ENS) reported Q1, 2009 earnings of $25.5 million, or $0.50 per diluted share, on revenue of $529.1 million, up from $429.9 million last year. Expectations for Q2 diluted earnings per share are between $0.49 and $0.53 per share - excluding a charge of $1.2 million from the restructuring actions in Europe.

·         Greatbatch (NYSE: GB) reported Q2 earnings of$5.8 million, or $0.26 per share, up from a loss of $1.9 million (loss of $0.15per share) Y/Y on revenue of $141.6 million, an increase of 80% over the $78.4million reported last year.

·         Maxwell Technologies (Nasdaq: MXWL) reported aQ2 loss of $5.0 million or $(0.24) per share, compared with a net loss of $7.9million last year. Revenues were $19.6 million, up from $13.6 million Y/Y. Ultracapacitor sales for hybrid and electric vehicles are the primary catalysts for growth.

·         Valence Technology (Nasdaq: VLNC) reported a loss for Q1, 2009, of 5.5 million, or $0.05 per share, on revenues of $10.9million, up 165% on a Y/Y basis.

Geothermal

Federal land managers sold a record $28.2 million in geothermal leases in Nevada this week.

Raser Technologies (NYSE: RZ)announced completion of an analysis of a well field in Utah for its Thermo project, which indicated 3.6MW net at the well depth level that Raser intends to produce, and that "ample resources are available in the immediate vicinity"to support a 10MW plant. The report also stated that Raser's field can likely sustain 238MW gross with a 90% probability of sustaining 138MW of geothermalenergy.

TRU energy announced a staged investment of AUS$57 million in Petratherm's Paralanga geothermal project in South Australia. TRU energy will take up to a 30% stake in the project overtime, initially investing $6 million (10% stake) for drilling first and second wells later this year. Then it will invest $7 million (for 5% more) toward th edevelopment of a 7.5MW pilot plant expected to be operational by mid-2010.Finally it will invest $44 million for a 30MW demo plant. It will also provide its share of the project costs at each stage.  

Earnings

·         Ormat (NYSE: ORA) reported Q2 earnings of$12.1 million, or $0.28 per share, on revenues of $80.2 million, compared to$94.1 million for the Q2 last year. The company also announced a backlog which increased $144 million to $186 million.

Hybridand PHEV

Tesla Motors added to its brain-trust this week with a hire of Ford Executive Deepak Ahuja as its CFO.Ahuja formerly served as controller to Ford's small cars product development program.

Nissan Motors revealed electric and hybrid electric prototype vehicles that are powered by advanced lithium-ion batteries sourced from the Nissan-NEC joint venture. It plans to introduce an all-electric vehicle in 2010 and mass market by 2012.

Mitsubishi Motors said it is going to partner with Southern California Edison and Pacific Gas & Electricto test its zero-emission car, the i MiEV, for use in the U.S. The i MiEV uses a lithium-ion battery that Mitsubishi Motors developed in coordination with GSYuasa Corp.

Solar

Frost & Sullivan reported this week that North America-based solar cell equipment manufacturers will see sales exceed $1.2 billion by 2014, up from $260.2 million in 2007. The increase in thin-film manufacturers is expected to be a key catalyst in the growth, with thin-film substrates helping to bring prices down to $1.3/W by2012, from the current cost of $1.75 to $5.

Hoku (Nasdaq: HOKU) announced another major agreement this week, this time a $284 million supply agreement over 10 years to Tianwei New Energy Holdings. Shipments will commence in the first half of 2010 and the remainder over a 10-year period at set prices that will decline throughout the term of the agreement. Hoku will get a deposit of$15 million this month, and Tianwei will make additional deposits of $15million in November, $10 million in January, 2009 and $5 million upon the firstshipment.

More bad news for MEMC(NYSE: WFR) this week, which reported on Tuesday that the Tropical Storm Edourd passing through Pasadena, Texas, will have a two day effect on polysilicon production. Remember its Q2 results suffered as a result of a failed heat-exchanger at its Merano, Italy facility and a loose pipe fitting at the Pasadena facility.

Concentrated PV cellproducer EMCORE (Nasdaq: EMKR) announced two supply agreements for solar cells and receivers valued at more than $40 million in total. The produce will be developed for commercial rooftop installations as well as utility-scale solar farms. Production has started and about $1 million of product will be shipped this quarter.

GWS Technologies(OTCBB: GWSI) announced additions to its micro generation product line, including portable solar chargers and solar backpacks. The company is targeting the solar-powered personal electronics market as well as wind turbines for point-of-use energy generation.  And Spire(Nasdaq: SPIR) announced a new contract for expansion at Tianwei's factory as it automates key manufacturing steps to boost production.

Suniva announced a $500million supply agreement with Solon AG through 2012 to deliver high-efficiency monocrystalline cells to Solon.

Neo Solar Power said its thin-film task force will begin production of its first production line in the second half of 2009, targeting between 30MW and 60MW initial capacity. Its FAB2 facility is scheduled to complete four additional production lines this month, which will add 120MW, bringing total capacity to 210MW. It intends toadd 300MW of capacity in 2009, and its goal for 2010 is to reach 660MWcapacity. And Sanyo has opened its PV module assembly plant, with an initial capacity of 40MW per year. The company has a stated goal to invest about $650million in solar over the next three years.

The $65 million10.6MWPennsylvania Solar Park is slated for construction by Green Energy Capital Partners. The project is being financed through private investment, federal andstate incentives and tax credits. Construction should commence by March, 2009and will be fully operational within about four months after groundbreaking.The only solar farm in the U.S. that will be bigger than the PA project is a15MW field in at Nellis Air Force Base near Las Vegas.

Earnings

EMCORE reported preliminaryQ3 results this week, with a net loss of $7.7 million, or $(0.10) per share on revenue of $75.5 million, which was up 70% on a Y/Y basis, and up 34%sequentially.

Legal

GT Solar's (Nasdaq: SOLR)woes continue, with more class action lawsuits stacking up. So far this week Abraham, Fruchter & Twersky LP, Brower Piven and Shapiro Haber & Urmy are the latest to pile on. We hope these get tossed out as spurious, but the opportunism from these legal eagles and their investors doesn't surprise.

WaterTreatment

Aquatech International won a pretreatment contract for the 900MW Sandy Creek Energy Station coal-fired plant in Texas. It will supply two lime softening clarifiers and the treated water from the system will be used as make up to cooling tower and for process use within the plant.

Officials broke ground on the Randleman Water Treatment Plant in Pennsylvania this week, which is the final phase in the Randleman Dam Project and will be capable of treating 50million gallons of water. It should be operational by 2010.

China Everbright International announced an agreement with Jinan's government for a wastewater treatment plant which will be able to treat 100,000 tons of wastewater per day.And Global Water Engineering (GWE) has won a contract for a 5-stage treatment plant for the Siam Cement Group in Thailand.


Wind

The American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) came released its second quarter market report this week, which affirms that the U.S. leads the world in terms of Wind Farm electricity generation - on track to grow by 45% this year - but the expiration of the federal tax production credit (PTC) in another five months or so could jeopardize growth going forward.

Composite Technology announced a distribution agreement for Europe with Lamifil n.v. of its ACCC conductors. Its ACCC conductors are noted for their ability to minimize maximize transmission efficiency and carrying capacity, and Lamifil has already received orders for the technology for 57 km to a Spain utility and another 125 km for re-conductoring of a Belgium line.

American Superconductor (Nasdaq: AMSC) announced this week that it has licensed its WT 1650 wind turbine design to Turkey's Model Enerji. Model Enerji will have exclusive rights to manufacture, sell, install, operate and maintain the 1.65MW turbines in Turkey with non-exclusive rights for the surrounding Mediterranean and Eastern European countries. American Superconductor will also receive a royalty payment for the first 425 wind turbines manufactured by Model Enerji.

 

Wind Facts

·          The U.S. leads in wind power generation, but trails Germany in terms of
    capacity installed at 19,549MW. Germany has about 23,000MW of capacity
    installed.

·          AWEA projects at least 7,500MW of new capacity installed in 2008 in the U.S.

Top Five States in Terms of Wind Power Capacity (existing)

1.     Texas - 5,604.65MW

2.     California - 2,483.83MW

3.     Iowa - 1,375.28MW

4.     Minnesota - 1,366.15MW

5.     Washington - 1,289.38MW

Source: AWEA



This week a federal court in Texas dismissed a lawsuit filed by the Coastal Habitat Alliance relating to the construction of two separate wind energy projects. The suit challenged the state's decision to allow the projects to be built without requirement environmental review and public comment. In Texas, developers don't require state or federal approval to erect wind turbines on private land. One of the projects contested is Babcock & Brown's 283MW project that will consist of 118 turbines. The other is PPM Energy's Peñascal Wind Farm that will have about consisted of about 267 turbines.

Keewatin Windpower (OTCBB: KWPW) and Sky Harvest have been invited by Saskpower, the principal supplier of electricity in Saskatchewan, Canada to provide data to a Calgary based engineering firm to conduct a Wind Power Integration and Development study. Saskpower serves more than 441,000 customers, manage $4.1 billion in assets, and maintain more than 153,000 kilometers of power lines.

Wisconsin Public Power, Inc. (WPPI) signed a PPA with Barton Windpower LLC for the purchase of 30MW of wind energy from the Barton I project in Worth County Iowa. WPPI anticipates acquitting about 100,650MWh per year.

Puget Sound Energy (PSE) is adding an additional 4 turbines at the Hopkins Ridge Wind Facility bringing the total to 87, and a total capacity of 157MW.

The UK has approved plans for its fourth largest offshore wind farm, Scira Offshore Energy's 315MW Sheringham Shoal which is planned off the coast of Norfolk, England. It will comprise of about 108. Cabling firm Nexans has the £19 million contract to connect the wind farm to the mainland through two 22km-long 145kV submarine cables, with the capacity to deliver about 1.1TWh of power each year.

Fast Fact: Wind has overtaken hydropower as the second largest renewable energy generation source in the UK in terms of output. Mitsubishi has begun its wind power generation business in Bulgaria through a JV (70% Mitsubishi and 30% owned by inos Ltd.), the Kaliakra Wind Power AD. All power generated will be sold to the state-owned electricity utility, Elektricheska Kompania EAD. The KWP wind farm has the capacity to generate 35MW of electricity.

Earnings

•Otter Tail (Nasdaq: OTTR) reported Q2 income of $3.5 million, or earnings of $0.11 per share, on revenue of $323.6 million, compared with earnings of $16.1 million last year on revenue of $305.8 million. The results fell short of expectations, and management attributed the performance to "challenges" in its manufacturing segment and a ruling in Minnesota.

DOE Watch

The DOE announced this week the first of four Energy Savings Performance Contracts aimed at saving the government about $13 million on energy and related costs per year, as well as enabling $140 million in energy efficiency improvement to DOE facilities (Transformational Energy Action Management (TEAM) initiative:

•Idaho National Laboratory - switching power sources for the boilers, reducing fuel oil purchases from 600,000 gallons per year to zero, and reducing site emissions. Goal: reduce energy consumption by about 53 billion Btu/yr. NORESCO will manage the project which will cost about $33 million with annual savings of about $1.7 million.

•Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory - major upgrade of Energy Management Control System. Goal: reduce nearly 100 billion Btu/yr. Johnson Controls (NYSE:JCI) will perform the $11 million project with annual savings of about $1.3 million.

•National Energy Technology Laboratory - implementation of biogas boilers, green roofs, hybrid lighting reducing energy consumption by more than 27 billion Btu/yr and reduction of water usage by more than 3 million gallons. Constellation Energy (NYSE:CEG) will performance the $6 million project with annual savings of about $800,000.

•Oak Ridge National Laboratory - creation of biomass steam plant, expansion of building management system and implementation of other conservation measures, reducing energy consumption by 850 billion Btu/yr and decreasing water consumption by 170 million gallons. Johnson Controls will perform the $89 million project with annual savings of $8.7 million.

Also this week, the DOE announced the launch of its Zero-Net Energy Commercial Building Initiative (CBI) with the establishment of the National Laboratory Collaborative on Building Technologies (NLCBT).

Fast Fact: In 2005, commercial buildings used 18% of energy in the United States, accounting for 18% of greenhouse gas emissions.

Nuclear

The DOE said on Tuesday that the cost of building a repository at Yucca Mountain in Nevada is going to cost $96.2 billion through the time it is sealed in 2133, which is an increase of more than two-thirds of the government's previous estimate of $57.5 billion.

Primary energy use by fuel, 2006-2030 (quadrillion Btu)

     

 

2006

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

Renewables

3.38

4.51

5.35

6.50

7.67

7.96

Hydropower

2.89

2.92

2.99

3.00

3.00

3.00

Nuclear

8.21

8.31

8.41

9.05

9.50

9.57

Coal

22.30

23.93

24.35

24.01

23.66

23.39

Natural gas

22.50

23.03

24.19

25.87

27.75

29.90

Liquid fuels

40.06

40.46

41.80

42.24

42.78

43.99

Total

99.3

103.2

107.1

110.7

114.4

117.8


      Source: EIA


Sales of 'Unconventional' light-duty vehicles by fuel type, 2006-2030 (thousands of vehicles sold)

 

2006

2030 Reference case

2030 Early release

Total

1,137.45

7,737.75

4,747.65

Flex-fuel

454.60

2,715.40

1,769.90

Electric hybrid

299.40

2,667.99

1,552.62

Advanced diesel

371.44

2,332.50

1,406.00

Gaseous technology

11.82

14.04

11.22

Fuel cell and electric

0.19

7.82

7.91

     

Source: EIA

     

 

In the reference case (with Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007), unconventional vehicle sales total 7.7 million units (42 percent of new LDV sales) in 2030. Without EISA2007, only 4.7 million units are sold in 2030, making up 25 percent of total new LDV sales



Politics Obama kicked off the week with a presidential speech on energy policy in Michigan on Monday which was hailed as visionary by most, conciliatory by some, and mocked by a few idiots so bent on grinding their GOP axe that they are just getting in the way. In a reaction to Obama's suggestion that Americans can conserve fuel by inflating their tires, Mark Salter, McCain's senior aid distributed tire gauges labeled "Obama's Energy Plan."

Elements of the Obama Energy Plan

 

* Emergency energy rebate

* Cracking down on excessive energy speculation

* Tapping into strategy petroleum reserve

* Implementing cap & trade program with specific goals

* Re-engaging U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change

* Reviving the Major Economies effort for international coalition

* Investing more than $150 billion over next 10 years on PHEVs

* Creating "Green Vet" program to support green workforce and our vets

* Build-out of U.S. manufacturing resources to support clean tech

* Job training programs for clean tech

* Increasing fuel standards 4% annually

* Providing stimulus and support for U.S. auto industry to transition to better fuel economy

* Mandate for flex fuel vehicles

* Mandate of 60 billion gallons of advanced biofuels by 2030

* Establish low carbon fuel standard in 2010 with specific targets for 2020

* Accountability of U.S. oil industry to develop existing reserves

* Promotion of more responsible domestic production

* Working with Canada to construct the Alaska Natural Gas Pipeline

* Develop enhanced oil recovery technology

* Require 10% of electricity from renewable sources by 2012

* Take serious and responsible approach to nuclear BEFORE building out

* Work with DOE to set more aggressive energy efficiency goals

* National building efficiency targets

* Reduce federal energy consumption

* Incentives for energy utilities to greater efficiency

* Invest in smarter grid

* 'Weatherize' one million homes

* Build more sustainable communities



All of this is Obama's Energy Plan. Not some tire gauge. The fact that McCain has reduced himself to sarcasm (remember last week's commercials importing Moses, Paris Hilton and Brittany Spears into the debate?) should be a warning shot across America's bow to wake up and get serious leadership in place that can actually demonstrate vision and a plan to move us into the Twenty First century where we are not tied down to dirty, inefficient energy sources. The theatrics in Washington lately that suggest anything other than the plan put forth in Michigan this week by Obama are a bad joke.

On Tuesday, Senator Bob Corker (R-TN) further advocated the "New Energy Reform Act of 2008" which he and nine other members of a bipartisan group had developed that calls, amongst other things, for 80% of cars on the road to be fueled by alternative energy within the next twenty years, tax credits for consumers of alternative fuel vehicles and other users of renewable energy, and funding for research. It also calls for more offshore drilling. And Fred Upton (R-MI) announced plans for legislation supporting the development and deployment of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies. Upton, who is the top Republican on the Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality, is teaming with Chairman of the Energy Subcommittee, Rick Boucher (D-VA).

The Texas Clean Air Cities Coalition and the Environmental Defense Fund are dropping their opposition to NRG Energy's Limestone 3 permit application for an 800MW unit on the condition that it commits to offsetting or sequestering 50% of the carbon generated in a verifiable manner, and it agrees not to build another coal-fueled plant in Texas unless it uses integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) or ultra-supercritical coal technology and sequesters or offsets at least 50% of the CO2 emissions of the proposed plant. NRG also has to build or support development of a utility-scale solar project in Texas, and if it does not, it will contribute to a trust that would fund significant Texas energy efficiency projects. NRG will commit to reducing water usage at the new plant by almost 60%, it will commit resources for a terrestrial sequestration pilot project in West Texas and it will retrofit or replace a substantial portion of its non-road diesel equipment with Tier 2 or better.

Legal

Boyce Allen Hudson, a former North Carolina environmental official was sentenced this week to more than 3 years in prison for agreeing to take payment in exchange for helping an ethanol plant in Beaufort County expedite a state air quality permit. The deal was between Hudson and the chief executive of Agri-Ethanol Products LLC, which had plans to build a $220 million ethanol plant.

Upgrades and Downgrades

August 4 - Aventine Renewable Energy (NYSE: AVR) downgraded to HOLD with price target of $6 by Ardour Capital

August 4 - Headwaters Inc. (NYSE: HW) rated BUY with price target of $15 by Wedbush Morgan

August 5 - Pacific Ethanol Inc. (Nasdaq: PEIX) rated REDUCE with price target of $1 by Ardour Capital

August 5 - Canadian Solar (Nasdaq: CSIQ) initiated at BUY at Canaccord Adams.

August 5 - JA Solar Holdings (Nasdaq: JASO) initiated at BUT at Canaccord Adams

August 5 - Solarfun Power (Nasdaq: SOLF) initiated at HOLD at Canaccord Adams

August 6 - Verenium (Nasdaq:VRNM) upgraded to a BUY at Broadpoint.

August 6 - Greatbatch Technologies (NYSE:GB) rated a BUY with a price target of $29 at Canaccord Adams, and a Buy with a $30 price target at Lazard Capital.

August 6 - ADA-ES (Nasdaq: ADES) rated a HOLD at Canaccord with a $9.50 price target and a BUY at Lazard Capital with a $12 price target.

August 6 - Akeena Solar (Nasdaq: AKNS) downgraded to Neutral at Merriman.

August 6 - Archer Daniels Midland (NYSE: ADM) rated HOLD with a $30 price target at Deutsche Bank

August 6 - American Superconductor (Nasdaq: AMSC) upgraded to BUY at Janco Partners.

August 7 - Maxwell Tech (Nasdaq: MXWL) downgraded to a HOLD with a $13 price target at Ardour Capital.

August 7 - Yingli Green Energy (NYSE: YGE) price target lowered to $27 while BUY rating is maintained at AmTech Research.

August 7 - Akeena Solar (Nasdaq: AKNS) price target lowered to $4 from $6 while HOLD rating is maintained at Ardour Capital.

August 7 - Ormat (NYSE: ORA) price target lowered to $65 from $70 with OUTPERFORM rating at RBC Capital Markets.

August 8 - PowerSecure (Nasdaq: POWR) rated BUY with $13 price target at Roth Capital.

Financing & M&A

This week, IKEA is getting a lot of attention in the media, with its clean tech fund which was established a number of months ago. It is investing, planning to invest €50 million ($77.17 million) into cleantech startups over the next five years. Its goal is to establish more clean tech consumer goods to run through its doors for consumers.

Aurarian Capital Management announced this week that it is launching a new fund with about $100 million to structure loans to alternative energy companies. The fund will charge a 2% management fee and 30% performance fee on returns above a 12% threshold.

Ausra raised about $25.4 million in Series C funding, with investors including KERN Partners, Khosla Ventures and Kleiner Perkins Caulfield & Byers.

A123 Systems has filed for a $175 million IPO, planning to trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol AONE. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs will be co-leading underwriters. To date, A123 has raised $132 million, with investors including General Electric, Proctor & Gamble, Alliance Capital, Motorola, Qualcomm, North Bridge Venture Partners, Sequoia Capital, CMEA Ventures, FA Technology Ventures, OnPoint, Carruth Management and MIT.

Blackstone (NYSE: BX) has formed a cleantech group which will invest and advise portfolio companies on renewable energy strategies.

F9 Investments bought Proton Energy Systems for $10.2 million from its parent-co, Distributed Energy Systems (DESCQ.PK). Proton is a renewable hydrogen technology developer and its technology has applications for on-site cooling systems for power pants, oxygen generation on-board naval vessels and large-capacity hydrogen fueling stations.

 

 

Aspire Clean Tech Sector Performance for the Week Ended August 8, and Year-to-Date

Biofuels

8/8/2008

8/4/2008

Change

%

Change YTD

%

1/2/2008

AE Biofuels

6

7

-1

-14%

-6

-50%

12

Andersons

46.72

46.49

0.23

0%

1.91

4%

44.81

Archer Daniels Midland

26.49

28.27

-1.78

-6%

-18.5

-41%

44.99

Aventine Renewable Energy

7.12

6.64

0.48

7%

-5.87

-45%

12.99

Blue Fire Ethanol

3.55

4.4

-0.85

-19%

0.05

1%

3.5

Cosan

12.13

13.13

-1

-8%

-0.22

-2%

12.35

Green Plains Renewable

6.53

6.37

0.16

3%

-5.97

-48%

12.5

Gushan

12.32

12.07

0.25

2%

2.89

31%

9.43

Metabolix

12.09

11.94

0.15

1%

-11.97

-50%

24.06

MGP Ingredients

5.9

5.71

0.19

3%

-3.6

-38%

9.5

Nova Biosource

0.32

0.4

-0.08

-20%

-2.58

-89%

2.9

Pacific Ethanol

2.37

1.91

0.46

24%

-6.12

-72%

8.49

Verasun Energy

6.72

6.16

0.56

9%

-8.84

-57%

15.56

Verenium

2.75

2.2

0.55

25%

-2.55

-48%

5.3

Median

     

1%

 

-36%

 

 

The biofuels segment closed up 1% this week, buttressed by comebacks in Verenium (Nasdaq: VRNM), up 25% and Pacific Ethanol (Nasdaq: PEIX). Verenium got a $90 million investment from BP and it has been demonstrating a lot of promise of late, while Pacific Ethanol got some help from the EPA's denial of Texas' petition to get a waiver from ethanol mandates. The latter news probably helped buoy the entire sector. Year-to-date, the group is still getting hammered, down 36%. Gushan (NYSE: GU) is the lone bright spot in the group, up 31%.

Energy Management

8/8/2008

8/4/2008

Change

%

Change YTD

%

1/2/2008

Comverge

8.82

10.5

-1.68

-16%

-22.52

-72%

31.34

Echelon

11.27

10.63

0.64

6%

-11.11

-50%

22.38

EnerNOC

15

16.33

-1.33

-8%

-33.92

-69%

48.92

Itron

100.81

93.3

7.51

8%

5.38

6%

95.43

Orion Energy

5.35

5.19

0.16

3%

-13.27

-71%

18.62

PowerSecure

8.65

7.24

1.41

19%

-5.11

-37%

13.76

Median

     

2%

 

-49%

 

 

The energy management group closed up 2% on the week, led by a rally in PowerSecure (Nasdaq: POWR), which closed up $2.58 in today's session to $8.65 on a strong Q2 earnings report. EnerNOC (Nasdaq: ENOC) also traded up on Friday after a stellar report, but couldn't manage to get back into positive territory after a selloff at the beginning of the week. Year-to-date, the group is down 49%, with only Itron (Nasdaq: ITRI) in positive territory, up 6%.
 

Energy Storage

8/8/2008

8/4/2008

Change

%

Change YTD

%

1/2/2008

Active Power

0.79

0.78

0.01

1%

-1.42

-64%

2.21

China BAK Battery

4.44

4.73

-0.29

-6%

-1.66

-27%

6.1

Electro Energy

1.57

2.08

-0.51

-25%

-3.33

-68%

4.9

Ener1

7.6

7.34

0.26

4%

2.7

55%

4.9

Enersys

26.08

31.91

-5.83

-18%

0.92

4%

25.16

Greatbatch

23.68

20.38

3.3

16%

3.59

18%

20.09

Maxwell Technologies

13.1

13.5

-0.4

-3%

4.8

58%

8.3

Quantum Fuel Systems

1.96

1.61

0.35

22%

1.41

256%

0.55

Ultralife Batteries

10.03

10.19

-0.16

-2%

-10.57

-51%

20.6

Valence Technology

3.09

3.74

-0.65

-17%

1.15

59%

1.94

Median

     

-3%

 

24%

 

 

The energy storage group closed down 3% on the week, led by Electro Energy (Nasdaq: EEEI), down 25%, which has been a laggard in the group on a year-to-date basis as well. Quantum Fuel Systems (Nasdaq: QRWW) led the stocks in positive territory, up 22%, and it is up 256% on the year. The group as a whole has done pretty well also, up 24% YTD, with Valance (Nasdaq: VLNC), Maxwell (Nasdaq: MXWL) and Ener1 (AMEX: HEV) all up over 50%.

Geothermal

8/8/2008

8/4/2008

Change

%

Change YTD

%

1/2/2008

Calpine

15.99

17.39

-1.4

-8%

0.74

5%

15.25

Nevada Geothermal

1.05

1.05

0

0%

-0.24

-19%

1.29

Ormat Technologies

47.85

46

1.85

4%

-7.18

-13%

55.03

Polaris Geothermal

1.19

1.22

-0.03

-2%

-0.04

-3%

1.23

Raser Technologies

9.9

9.52

0.38

4%

-5.07

-34%

14.97

US Geothermal

2.26

2.3

-0.04

-2%

-1.79

-44%

4.05

Median

     

-1%

 

-18%

 

 

The geothermal group closed down 1% this week, led by Calpine (NSYE: CPN) which has been sliding for the past few weeks and now is trading a new 52-week low. Ormat (NSYE: ORA) and Raser (NYSE: RZ) both closed up 4% this week, with Ormat posting a strong quarter of earnings and Raser demonstrating more progress in its projects. The group is down 18% year-to-date, though, led by US Geothermal (AMEX: HTM), which is down 44% and Raser, which is down 34%. Interestingly, only Calpine is in positive territory, but just barely.


Upstream Solar

8/8/2008

8/4/2008

Change

%

Change YTD

%

1/2/2008

Hoku Scientific

5.79

6.1

-0.31

-5%

-6.12

-51%

11.91

MEMC

44.86

45.56

-0.7

-2%

-44.75

-50%

89.61

PV Crystalox

168.75

177

-8.25

-5%

20.25

14%

148.5

REC

150

146.75

3.25

2%

-125.5

-46%

275.5

Tokuyama

4.03

3.82

0.21

5%

-2.93

-42%

6.96

Median

     

-1%

 

-35%

 

 

The upstream solar segment closed down 1% this week, with only REC closing in positive territory (up 2%). Hoku (Nasdaq: HOKU) closed down 5%, but its announced $284 million deal with Tianwei bodes well for the company and the stock, we think. Year-to-date, the group is down 35%, led by Hoku and MEMC (NYSE: WFR).

Midstream Solar

8/8/2008

8/4/2008

Change

%

Change YTD

%

1/2/2008

Ascent Solar

8.12

8.57

-0.45

-5%

-17.72

-69%

25.84

Canadian Solar

25.91

28.21

-2.3

-8%

-3.09

-11%

29

Energy Conversion Devices

62.99

68.24

-5.25

-8%

29.33

87%

33.66

Ersol Solar

101

101.01

-0.01

0%

28.25

39%

72.75

Evergreen Solar

8.71

9.22

-0.51

-6%

-9.22

-51%

17.93

First Solar

257.76

277

-19.24

-7%

-11.7

-4%

269.46

JA Solar

15.16

15.38

-0.22

-1%

-8.41

-36%

23.57

LDK Solar

33.49

33.11

0.38

1%

-17.62

-34%

51.11

Motech Industries

160.5

166

-5.5

-3%

-137.5

-46%

298

Powerfilm

25

26.5

-1.5

-6%

-188

-88%

213

Q-Cells

59.12

57.43

1.69

3%

-3.63

-6%

62.75

Solarfun

12.19

13.23

-1.04

-8%

-22.21

-65%

34.4

Solarworld

29.59

28.98

0.61

2%

-12.16

-29%

41.75

SunPower

73.29

74.69

-1.4

-2%

-57.82

-44%

131.11

Suntech

33.02

33.96

-0.94

-3%

-50.71

-61%

83.73

Trina Solar

27.12

27

0.12

0%

-27.67

-51%

54.79

Yingli Green Energy

14.61

17.02

-2.41

-14%

-24.4

-63%

39.01

Median

     

-4%

 

-31%

 

 

The midstream solar segment struggled amidst growing concerns that the caps in Spain's programs are going to slow growth, as well as continued concerns about the high cost of raw materials. Yingli (NYSE: YGE) is symptomatic of both of these concerns and despite a strong showing on its quarterly report this week, the stock sold off 14%. Only LKD (NYSE: LDK) and Solarworld (SWV.DE) managed to close in positive territory. Year-to-date, the group is down 31%, with only Energy Conversion Devices (Nasdaq: ENER) in positive territory, up 87%.

Downstream Solar

8/8/2008

8/4/2008

Change

%

Change YTD

%

1/2/2008

Akeena Solar

4.08

4.53

-0.45

-10%

-6.41

-61%

10.49

Carmanah Tech

1

1.05

-0.05

-5%

-0.25

-20%

1.25

Conergy

9.9

8.81

1.09

12%

-15.1

-60%

25

Clear Skies Solar

0.59

0.68

-0.09

-13%

-0.91

-61%

1.5

Open Energy

0.07

0.11

-0.04

-36%

-0.23

-77%

0.3

Phoenix Solar

49.42

48.11

1.31

3%

9.12

23%

40.3

Real Goods Solar *

6.5

6.01

0.49

8%

-2.5

-28%

9

Solar Integrated Tech

87

91.5

-4.5

-5%

-13

-13%

100

Solar Power

1.3

1.42

-0.12

-8%

-2.6

-67%

3.9

Median

     

-6.05%

 

-40%

 

note: Real Goods Solar IPO was May 8, 2008.

           

 

The downstream solar segment closed down 6% this week, led by Open Energy (OEGY.OB) which was down 36% and looks questionable as to whether it is going to be able to stay solvent. The highest profile laggard this week was Akeena (Nasdaq: AKNS), which closed down 10%. We recommended the stock as a short on the heels of its Q1 earnings report and it has been on a slide since, with another dismal report this week for Q2. We recommended covering the short this week at $4 which would have been a 40% gain to the downside for anyone who listened. The group is down 40% year-to-date, with only Phoenix Solar (PS4.DE) in positive territory, up 23%.

Solar Equipment/Systems

8/8/2008

8/4/2008

Change

%

Change YTD

%

1/2/2008

BTU International

10.16

10.11

0.05

0%

-3.14

-24%

13.3

Emcore

4.8

4.75

0.05

1%

-10.88

-69%

15.68

GT Solar

11.98

10.85

1.13

10%

-3.59

-23%

15.57

Spire

10.88

11.83

-0.95

-8%

-13.14

-55%

24.02

Satcon Technology

2.38

2.52

-0.14

-6%

0.73

44%

1.65

Xantrex Technology

14.75

14.7

0.05

0%

5.06

52%

9.69

Median

     

0%

 

-12%

 

note: GT Solar IPO was July 24, 2008.

           


The solar equipment/systems group was flat this week, with GT Solar (Nasdaq: SOLR) who is now facing shareholder lawsuits on the heels of a disappointing IPO, leading the gainners, up 10%. The group is down 12% year-to-date, with only Satcon (Nasdaq: SATC) and Xantrex (XTX.TO) in positive territory, up 44% and 52% respectively.

Wind

8/8/2008

8/4/2008

Change

%

Change YTD

%

1/2/2008

A-Power Energy

21.95

24.96

-3.01

-12%

8.7

66%

13.25

American Superconductor

26

37.99

-11.99

-32%

-1.46

-5%

27.46

Broadwind Energy

17.8

19.6

-1.8

-9%

3.75

27%

14.05

Composite Technology

1.22

1.29

-0.07

-5%

-0.17

-12%

1.39

Gamesa

30.73

29.9

0.83

3%

-0.87

-3%

31.6

Keewatin Windpower

1.25

1.25

0

0%

-0.4

-24%

1.65

Nordex

23.18

21.25

1.93

9%

-8.27

-26%

31.45

Otter Tail

39.5

45.26

-5.76

-13%

5.12

15%

34.38

Suzlon

246.3

240.95

5.35

2%

-146.69

-37%

392.99

Vestas

80.53

82.32

-1.79

-2%

5.65

8%

74.88

Zoltek

21.09

21.75

-0.66

-3%

-21.62

-51%

42.71

Median

     

-6%

 

-4%

 

 

The wind segment closed down 6% this week, led by the selloff of American Superconductor's (Nasdaq: AMSC) stock (down 11.9%) and Otter Tail (Nasdaq: OTTR) (down 13%), which both disappointed with their earnings reports. Nordex led in positive territory, up 9% after completing a 42.5MW wind project in Turkey. The group is down 4% year-to-date, with A-Power (Nasdaq: APWR) leading, up 66%.

 

About Aspire Clean Tech Communications, Inc.

Based in San Diego, Aspire Clean Tech Communications is dedicated to providing strategic consulting and communications services to businesses operating in the alternative energy and clean tech industries. Our commentary and outlook on the public markets and the alternative energy can be found on a daily basis at www.smallcappulse.com.

For more information about Aspire Clean Tech Communications, Inc., contact Todd M. Pitcher at 858-518-1387.

This Aspire Week in Review was sponsored by Comanche Clean Energy, Inc., a leading Brazilian ethanol and biofuel firm bringing the lowest cost and most efficient alternative energy solutions to the world, and Hayden Communications, Inc., Wall Street's leading corporate communications firm. For more information about Hayden Communications, call 646-536-7331, for more information about Comanche Clean Energy; contact Todd M. Pitcher at 858-518-1387.

The Aspire Week in Review is brought to you by Small Cap Pulse the best source on the web for financial and economic commentary, stock recommendations, and a fresh idea. To learn more about Small Cap Pulse, call 858-509-9900.

 

 

 

Disclaimer: Information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not warrantee that it is accurate or complete. This material is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. While we believe all sources of information to be factual and reliable, in no way do we represent or warrantee the accuracy thereof, nor the statements made herein. THE READER SHOULD VERIFY ALL CLAIMS AND DO HIS OR HER OWN DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE INVESTING IN ANY SECURITIES MENTIONED. COMMON STOCKS INVOLVE SUBSTANTIAL RISK AND IT IS POSSIBLE TO LOSE YOUR ENTIRE INVESTMENT.   This information is not an endorsement of the Company by SCP. SCP is not responsible for any claims made by the Company. You should independently investigate and fully understand all risks before investing. Statements included in this email or fax may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties such as competitive factors, technological development, market demand and the Company's ability to obtain new contracts and accurately estimate net revenues due to variability in size, scope and duration of projects, and internal issues in the sponsoring client. Further information on potential factors that could affect the Company's financial results, can be found in the Company's Registration Statement and in its Reports on Forms 10-K and 10Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).





HOME | PROFILES | ALERTS | RESOURCES | QUOTES/NEWS | CONTACT US

Seacoast Advisors, Inc. is a publisher. We are not registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. The material provided on the website is for general informational purposes only. No information on the website is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy...

Click here to read more. 

 

Our focus at Small Cap Pulse is to provide our readers with timely and insightful stock ideas and market information that is value-added. Some of the companies that we introduce are our clients, and our only axe to grind is making their story better known. Most of the companies that we discuss are just companies that we think you should know about, as well as the fundamentals that we think will drive their stock prices higher, and in some cases lower...

Click here to read more.